The world’s financial system is built on complex interdependencies. Few of these are as significant as the relationship between China’s vast foreign exchange reserves and the United States’ Treasury securities. Over the past decades, China has been one of the largest foreign holders of US government bonds—a status that has not only provided stability to US debt markets but also formed a cornerstone of China’s monetary policy. But what if China suddenly decided to dump US bonds? How would global stock markets—and the broader financial system—react to such a seismic shift? In this article, we explore the potential fallout of such a move, delve into historical parallels, and analyze the broader implications for international markets. We will also review past episodes of bond market turbulence to provide context, and include related reference links for further exploration. 1. Background: China’s Role in the US Bond Market 1.1 The Rise of US Treasuries as a Global Safe-Haven Since the...
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